THE SURF REPORT
Wed. Oct. 22, 2014 | 8 a.m.
Good morning, this is Bates with your Ocean Surf Shop surf report for Wed., Oct. 22 at 8:30 a.m.
We have a great selection of wet-suits at the shop, and a lot of short-sleeve full suits, which are perfect for this time of year. Come check those out.
Waves at Folly this morning are ankle to knee high and breaking on the beach at The Washout. It is un-rideable early this morning.
Winds are north/north-west at 15 to 20 knots. Surf is side-shore and clean. We don’t expect much surf today, with north winds and small, high-angled north wind swell.
Tide is now going out this morning, and low tide will be at 1:28 p.m. High tide will be at 7:32 p.m.
The Edisto buoy is 4.9 ft.6 secs. in short period north wind swell, but this will not show at our beaches today.
High pressure and high angled north wind swell will be the call for the end of the work week. The rest of the week is looking small to flat, so we’ll keep an eye on the Atlantic for the next swell, but for now get some work done. We could see a low in the GOMEX push up a swell just before Halloween that could push off the coast of Fla. and blow in some swell, but that is a long way out.
The National Weather Service Marine Weather Forecast calls for: “HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE WATERS TODAY AND THEN DOMINATE THROUGH LATE WEEK.”
Water temp has cooled off a few degrees, it’s around 73* now.
Someone turned on the air-conditioning here at the beach. It is 58* and sunny. Expect a high of 68* with partly cloudy skies this afternoon. Nice beach weather.
Sunset is at 6:42 p.m. / Sunrise is at 7:27 a.m.
Thanks for checking in with Ocean Surf Shop.
Waves » Flat to knee.
SURF CONDITIONS » Side-shore, drifty, clean.
FUN FACTOR »
WATER TEMPERATURE » 74°
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TIDES » L: 1:28 p.m. / H: 7:32 p.m.
DANGERS » Flat spell.
TRAFFIC » None. For now.
PARKING » Everywhere.
WEEKLY WAVE FORECAST
Indian Summer Surf Session
It’s mid-October, and things are heating up in the Western Atlantic as the bell-curve that marks our hurricane season trends downward for 2014.
The surf has been pretty flat for the past two weeks. This looks to change in for Mid-October. There are two areas of interest in the Atlantic.
The first of the two could send some long-period swell our way late this weekend, into early next week. This is now “Sub-tropical Depression 7″ (Friday, Oct. 10). It would be called “Fay.”
Swell from this storm is looking to be a few days off.
I would look for swell from Fay to arrive on Sunday afternoon into Monday (Oct. 12-13). This is not a strong system, but it could send some fun swell into the beach. Winds Monday will trend moderate southerly (10 to 15 knots) ahead of a cold front, so look for increasing (strong) southerly winds and swell on Tuesday as south winds push swell from this storm into the beach in choppy, rolling ground-swell/wind-swell combo.
After a cold front passage on Tuesday (Oct. 14), we see surf drop quickly, but it should clean up.
Hopefully there will be a swell right behind “Fay” (Thurs. Oct. 16)that will arrive to start the work week.
As of Oct. 5, there is another area of interest worth keeping an eye on that is right behind Fay. This has a much lesser chance of becoming a hurricane. The swell from any development of this system would be a week out, and MUCH can change in that week.
We will update your forecast, but keep an eye out on these storms, and get your yard and house work done on Saturday. -Bates Hagood, Ocean Surf Shop
The National Hurricane Center: “Sub-tropical Depression 7′ (Friday, Oct. 10) is forecast to move northwestward and then northward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon.
(Friday, Oct. 10).Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased and become more concentrated in association with a tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development of this system during the next several days while it moves moves westward or west-
northwestward to west at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.