THE SURF REPORT
Fri. Feb. 27, 2015 | 8:30 a.m.
Good Morning, this is Bates with your Ocean Surf Shop surf report for Friday, Feb. 27 at 8:30 a.m.
Waves this morning are running thigh to waist high. There should be a stomach set as the tide comes in this morning.
Winds are north/north-east at 10 to 15 knots. Surf is side-shore and a bit bumpy. Look for north-east winds building a bit at 15 knots this afternoon.
Low tide is at 9:06 a.m., and high tide will be at 3:15 p.m. The the next low tide at 9:14 p.m.
The Edisto buoy is reading 4.9 ft. at 8 secs. in mix north-east wind swell and medium period south-easterly swell. Swell is running 3.3 ft at 7 seconds, and is pushing against this wind.
Waves hold today in waist high, choppy, mixed swell with north-east winds on it. We have strong NE winds tonight and Saturday, and this will develop a new, choppy north-east wind-swell in the waist to chest high range for Saturday with drifty conditions. Sunday looks like the better weekend day as the winds and swell turn from the E. By Monday we should start seeing some SE/E windswell develop in the waist to stomach range with warmer weather and cleaner conditions, and this should continue for most of next week. We’ve got waves, GO SURFING!
The NOAA National Weather Service Marine Weather Forecast: “HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD NORTH OF THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT AND WEDGE SOUTHWARD OVER GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA OVER THE WEEKEND WHILE A COASTAL TROUGH DEVELOPS OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST. A COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER OR JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION LATE MONDAY… THEN LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT ON TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT THROUGH THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY… FOLLOWED BY COOLER HIGH PRESSURE NEXT WEEKEND.”
Water temperature is still a very cold 47*, but this will come up some next week into the mid-50s.
It is 39* and mostly cloudy, but the sun is starting to peek out. Look for a high of 53* today and finally some sun.
Sunset is at 6:15 p.m. (last light 6:40 p.m.). Sunrise is at 6:47 a.m. (first light 6:23 a.m.).
Thanks for checking in with Ocean Surf Shop.
Waves » Thigh to waist. Occ. stomach.
SURF CONDITIONS » Bumpy, drifty.
FUN FACTOR »
WATER TEMPERATURE » 47°
SHARE THIS REPORT »
TIDES » L: 9:06 a.m. / H: 3:15 p.m.
DANGERS » Responsibilities.
TRAFFIC » None, early.
PARKING » Everywhere, early.
WEEKLY WAVE FORECAST
Late Feb./March 2015 Ocean Surf Shop surf forecast:
Our National Weather Service Marine Weather Forecast calls for: “DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ALONG AN OFFSHORE STATIONARY FRONT TODAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. THAT SYSTEM WILL THEN TRACK THROUGH EXTREME SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA AND THEN OFF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STRONG AND COLDER CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE GREAT PLAINS WILL THEN EXPAND TO BECOME THE PRIMARY WEATHER FEATURE THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. A COASTAL TROUGH WILL FORM JUST OFFSHORE SUNDAY…BEFORE LIFTING NORTH OF THE REGION AS ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHES ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA NEXT MONDAY AND TUESDAY.”
We have two areas of low pressure forecast to affect our marine area for the final days of February. The surf has been good for a few days, but we expect air temperatures to drop for late week. Feb. 25 – Feb. 28. Waves will, however, continue in the waist to stomach high range, picking up in choppy north-easterly wind swell Saturday and Sunday (Feb. 27-28). Waves will continue (off-and-on)to wrap up the last week of February in colder, choppy conditions.
For the first week of March, we get milder temperatures and some decent surf as we see “Bermuda High Pressure”-style trade wind swell fill in to start your work week.
We should see a ridge of mild high pressure set up well out into the Atlantic off of the mid-Atlantic coast to start March. This will likely bring slightly warmer weather and boost the water temperatures for the first week of March. I would expect the water to reach around 54* by the end of next week as southerly flow blows in slightly warmer water. The high pressure should hold-off the strong cold fronts that have been moving through every few days. There will likely be plenty of waves and warmer weather on tap to start March, 2015. We should see south-east medium period swell with winds trending south March 1-4, and waves averaging waist to chest high from the south-east.
What a great run of waves for late Feb. /Early-March
-Bates Hagood, Ocean Surf Shop