THE SURF REPORT
Thu. Oct. 30, 2014 | 8:30 a.m.
Good morning, this is Bates with your Ocean Surf Shop surf report for Thursday, Oct. 30 at 8:30 a.m.
Our friend Norman Godley broke his neck in an unfortunate accident over the summer, and we are hosting a benefit party for him in the Ocean Surf Shop parking lot on Thursday, Nov. 6 from 5 – 8:30 p.m. Admission is a donation at the door upon entry (you decide the amount). Admission will include beer, soda, music and food.
Surf at Folly this morning is still pretty small. It’s only ankle high. Surf is side-shore and weak.
Winds are north at 10 knots. Look for winds to trend north-easterly this afternoon at 10 knots.
High tide will be at 1:30 p.m. Low tide will be at 7:51 p.m.
The Edisto buoy is 3 ft. at 5 secs. in meaningless, short period, leftover south-west wind swell.
We’re looking at small to flat surf for the week. We were hoping for some north-east wind swell next week, but it’s looking like strong westerly winds behind a cold front Saturday and Sunday, which means high angle in the swell, so we will have to keep the hope, but it does not look good. Central/south-Florida looks better. It does look like this swell might rotate mid-week (Wed., Nov. 5) so we hope to see swell next week.
The National Weather Service Marine Weather Forecast calls for: “A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE THIS MORNING…WITH HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDING OVER THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. A MUCH STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT…FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING FROM THE WEST OVER THE WEEKEND. THE HIGH WILL SETTLE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE SHIFTING OFFSHORE INTO THE ATLANTIC DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES.
Water temp is starting to drop, it’s around 71* now. Will drop to the mid-60s next week.
It is 63* cloudy this morning. Expect a high of 72* and partly cloudy skies for afternoon! No surf but perfect weather.
It’s the last of the longer days from the year. Sunset is at 6:30 p.m. / Sunrise is at 7:36 a.m.
Thanks for checking in with Ocean Surf Shop.
Waves » Ankle to knee.
SURF CONDITIONS » Side-shore, clean.
FUN FACTOR »
WATER TEMPERATURE » 72°
SHARE THIS REPORT »
TIDES » H: 1:30 p.m. / L: 7:51 p.m.
DANGERS » Flat spell.
TRAFFIC » None.
PARKING » Everywhere.
WEEKLY WAVE FORECAST
Early Nov. 2014 surf forecast for Charleston’s beaches
The NWS marine weather forecast for our waters calls for: “HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THURSDAY…THEN A COLDER HIGH WILL MOVE IN ON SATURDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE SHIFTING OFFSHORE.”
We had Invest 95L pop up on the radar today (Oct. 29). It has a very small chance of development with wind-sheer and high pressure in place, and significantly stronger strong high pressure due to drop into the South-east over the weekend. This will likely keep any tropical development of 95L to a minimum. We will keep our fingers crossed, though.
High pressure prevails over our waters through late October, keeping our waves in the barely rideable range for late in the work week, through Halloween. As early November approaches, we look for north-east wind swell to fill in post-frontal boundary as cool Canadian high pressure starts to set up over our marine area on Nov. 1 through Nov. 3 (Monday). We WILL NEED FOR THIS SWELL EVENT TO ROTATE SOME, since we should see HIGH ANGLE in the wind swell, sweeping down the beach. South Fla. and the OBX should see much more swell, as north-east winds tend to push swell past our beaches. That does not mean that we won’t see some swell in the waist high range on Sunday AFTERNOON (Nov. 3). Monday looks like a lot of west wind, but south Fla. will likely be seeing some waves. As north-east winds relax on Tuesday, and KEEP OUR FINGERS CROSSED, that high pressure moves off the mid-Atlantic. Could high pressure set up off of the mid-Atlantic during the middle of the work week (Nov. 5)? This time of year often sees Bermuda High conditions, which is some of the best (bumpy) swell we can see here at Folly. We will keep our fingers crossed, and will also look for more high angled north-east wind swell late in the forecast period (Nov. 7 – 10). Might want to gear up your 3/2, because it is looking like temperatures might be dropping. –Bates Hagood, Ocean Surf Shop.