THE SURF REPORT
Mon. Aug. 29, 2016 | 8:30AM
Good Morning. This is Chad with your Ocean Surf Shop surf report and forecast for Monday, Aug. 29 at 8:30 a.m.
Surf at The Washout is running waist to stomach high with chest (plus) sets in easterly/south-easterly groundswell.
Winds are north/north-east at 10 knots and clean.
Low tide will be at 12:08 a.m., and high tide will be at 6:42 p.m.
The Edisto Buoy is reading 3.3 ft. at 15 seconds in long period south-east groundswell, so there is some swell at the buoy.
We see small south-east ground swell this afternoon and there should be some waist to stomach high waves all day. Winds will rotate west at around 10 to 12 knots. Look for semi-bumpy/choppy surf this afternoon. There is some tropical ground swell in the Atlantic, with Invest 99L having pushed south of the Bahamas, we should see the pulse of ground-swell increase on the incoming tide today. Some models show 99L moving off of our coast after moving north-east and crossing Florida. We see swell rotate more easterly as long period ground swell from hurricane Gaston moves into our waters. We also have a new low, Invest 91L, well east of Hatteras that should move west, also push up some swell as it moves toward our coast. LOTS of activity. We will also see east/north-east winds increase as high pressure blows wind down the coast, so surf is likely to stay fairly choppy during the swell event. East/north-easterly winds will be the fly in the soup for this swell event, but plenty of surf for late in the weekend, into next week.
Your NOAA Marine Weather Forecast for the area calls for: “HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED TO THE NORTH WILL PREVAIL INTO MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN PERSIST INTO LATE NEXT WEEK.”
It is 81* and cloudy at Folly. Look for scattered showers today, with a high of 86* and 40% chance of rain today.
Sunset will be at 7:49 p.m., and sunrise is at 6:51 a.m.
Thanks for checking in with Ocean Surf Shop.
Waves » Waist to chest
SURF CONDITIONS » glassy
FUN FACTOR »
WATER TEMPERATURE » 84°
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TIDES » L: 12:08 a.m. / H: 6:42 p.m.
DANGERS » none
TRAFFIC » none`
PARKING » plenty
WEEKLY WAVE FORECAST
Your NOAA Marine Weather Forecast for the area calls for: “A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST INLAND TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD FROM THE NORTH AND WILL PREVAIL THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.”
This week, we see a moderate increase in easterly wind chop swell as high pressure moves into our marine area from the north starting late Monday. Tropical Storm Fiona is in the Central Atlantic, but is forecast to downgrade to tropical low status by late week. Right now, it looks like the storm is north-east of our swell window, but we do expect the east wind swell to merge with DISTANT T.S. Fiona ground-swell this week behind this early season cold front pushing through the marine area. Don’t count T.S. Fiona out yet. A shift west, and she could push in some swell late this week, but right now, don’t expect much. We also need to keep an eye on Invest 99L, another low in the Central Atlantic that looks more promising for our swell window around one week out. Models vary about the strength and track of the storm, but most agree that the tropical wave associated with 99L should be pushing westward near the Bahamas by next weekend (Aug 27-28). There is another tropical disturbance moving off of the coast of Africa that could also push some swell 10 days out. Most models are blowing this storm up well south-east of Bermuda and out of our swell window. Predictions are for the storm to take a more northerly track. Depending on the size of the storm, it could push some swell into our marine area for Labor Day weekend. In ANY CASE, there is A LOT going on in the Atlantic, so for now it is conjecture, but we DO expect surf to start picking up for late August into early September in one form or another. At least there is a lot of potential out there, and might pay to get non-surfing obligations taken care of ASAP.
-Bates Hagood, Ocean Surf Shop